Seasonal prediction of freeze-up dates and ice coverage in the St-Lawrence Seaway using Artificial Intelligence.

Institution: McGill University
Theme: Environmental change
Area of Vulnerability: Marine industries
Project Complete

Principal Investigator

  • Bruno TremblayMcGill University

Postdoctoral Fellow

  • Amélie BouchatMcGill University
Funding Call
Early Career & Postdoctoral Awards
Region
St. Lawrence
Years
2020
Funded By
Network Centres of Excellence (NCE)

Call

Postdoctoral Fellowship Awards, Cohort 3

Knowledge of river ice conditions from freeze-up to break-up is critical for the safe operation of ships in icy rivers. However, forecasts of freezing onset and ice conditions are almost non-existent for the St. Lawrence Seaway, a major shipping channel for Canada. For Fednav (Canada’s largest international bulk shipping company operating in the Seaway) this lack of information results in large uncertainties, forcing them to adopt a conservative approach to ensure the safe and efficient navigation of their fleet. While regional ice forecasting typically relies on high-resolution ice-ocean numerical models, this type of model is expensive to develop and run, and none are yet available for the St-Lawrence Seaway. This project proposes to develop a new freeze-up forecast model for the St. Lawrence Seaway based on Machine Learning. https://youtu.be/rty4ymyflkk

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